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How much did U.S. strikes set back Iran’s nuclear program?

How much did U.S. strikes set back Iran’s nuclear program?

Reports vary from massive destruction of their capabilities to just a few months of set back.

Jun 25, 2025
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How much did U.S. strikes set back Iran’s nuclear program?
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Satelleite image of Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility prior to airstrikes. Sourced from Google Maps. 34°53'04.5"N 50°59'45.5"E

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The U.S. and Israel struck three Iranian nuclear facilities in coordinated raids last week. President Trump declared the operation a success, even going as far as saying, “We destroyed the nuclear,” and suggesting that a nuclear deal with Tehran was no longer necessary.

“We may sign an agreement,” he added from the NATO summit. But “I don’t think it’s that necessary.”

But a leaked Defense Intelligence Agency assessment—labeled "preliminary" and “low-confidence”—told a different story: it suggested the strikes only delayed Iran’s nuclear weapons timeline by a few months. That report triggered an FBI leak investigation.

Meanwhile, Israel’s atomic agency claimed the damage was far more substantial, saying the attacks could push Iran’s nuclear ambitions back by “many years.”

👉 In today’s Pro Brief:

How much damage did the U.S. and Israel really do to Iran’s nuclear program? The UN’s nuclear chief has weighed in—and his answer may surprise you. Get the full breakdown, including bomb impact details, Iran’s retaliation threats, and what comes next for nuclear diplomacy.

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